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Thursday, August 9, 2007

New Mexico Single Family Home Sales Q1 2006 vs Q1 2007

Thought you might find the sales data comparing NM single family home sales from First Quarter 2007 vs. First Quarter 2006 interesting. This is broken down by market areas. Silver City sales data comparison is particularly interesting.


First Quarter 2006

First Quarter 2007

Percentage Change

AREA

Units

Average Sales Price

Units

Average Sales Price

Units

Average Sales

Price

Albuquerque

2701

$214,873

2367

$236,098

-12.37%

10%

Angel Fire

7

$374,200

3

$260,833

-57.14%

-30%

Artesia

29

$92,829

41

$115,829

41.38%

25%

Carlsbad

73

$108,586

85

$128,565

16.44%

18%

Clovis

169

$115,402

127

$119,568

-24.85

4%

Deming

56

$112,209

41

$110,061

-26.79%

-2%

Gallup

22

$183,059

34

$174,866

54.55%

-4%

Grants

5

$136,483

5

$106,119

0%

-22%

Hobbs

72

$109,380

58

$136,877

-19.94%

25%

Las Cruces

437

$208,589

405

$241,242

-7.32%

16%

Las Vegas

40

$102,927

24

$133,555

-40%

30%

Otero Co

228

$137,769

183

$140,455

-19.74%

2%

Roswell

153

$113,814

146

$117,351

-4.58%

3%

San Juan Co

212

$188,657

225

$200,297

6.13%

6%

Santa Fe

421

$488,591

318

$551,706

-24.27

13%

Sierra Co

33

$125,428

24

$$141,950

-24.47

13%

Silver City

93

$189,929

66

$189,981

-29.03%

0%

Taos

103

$317,283

88

$359,875

-14.56%

13%

TOTALS

4854

$174,737

4240

$182,380

-12.65%

4%

Stats taken from local RE Boards / Associations / MLS Databases / Publications

Sales of NM Single Family Homes in the first Quarter of 2007 was off by 12.65% over the first quarter of 2006 (2006 was generally a very good sales year by any standard). The average selling price per home actually increased by 4%. This implies that there are still a lot of folks who are investing their cash and their hearts in our state. Although a 4% increase is below the traditional average increase that you might expect with real estate, it suggests a healthy situation with Buyer interest remaining stable.


Silver City data is some of the more interesting data found, and on the surface might be a bit misleading. Silver City area sales showed a pull back in sales of nearly 30% in the first quarter. However average selling price remained a constant - with virtually no reduction in average SOLD price. This can be partially attributed to the previously mentioned "very good" 2006 sales data which we are comparing to. The fact that there was a substantial reduction in total units SOLD but with prices virtually unchanged would seem to imply that a reasonably strong market exists in the area. Generally housing prices follow the numbers of total units listed and numbers of total units sold. If this held true for Silver City and if the market was truly in decline and taking a beating, prices would follow suit and drift downward to reflect a decline in interest. We haven't seen it happening here.

Personal overview and opinion of the local market: Homes that are priced well for condition and area are selling in a close to normal and a reasonable time frame. The fact that discounting from listed price remains minimal also shows strength in our market. The overall softening seen in the US market seems to be mostly localized with some areas in the USA showing little to no effect while others are in hurtin' mode for sure. New Mexico and Silver City remain (for the time being anyway) relatively untouched by the meltdown in subprime loan issues and general market trends seen in other more volatile markets...

What is my house worth in today's market? Visit Archer's Dream Home New Mexico and use the online form there to request a free CMA (Market Analysis).

Yes the market has softened some. But considering that higher dollar (and second home) properties actually are showing some strength, we are far from becoming the Buyer's market that so many have rumored and predicted we would be seeing at this time. I feel the Silver City market remains healthy for Buyers and Sellers, and it is both a good place to live and also a good time to invest in Single family homes here. I feel there is little downside to purchasing today at fair and reasonable prices. But since there are sellers pressing the upper price ranges in an attempt to get more than fair value for their property, if you are looking at purchasing in the area, it would serve you well to find a real estate professional that has a good handle on the changing local market conditions and can help you determine what actually is fair value and what might be considered blue sky.

Post a question or a comment about this column.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Archer said...

2nd Quarter stat just flashed on the ticker.

2006 vs. 2007 home prices are up in NM by 8.65%. We are in the top five nationally for price appreciation. It is very varied by locale as you would expect. Can't wait to see the community breakdown.

L8TR ----Archer----->