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Sunday, December 28, 2008

Free Handouts for Consumers - Table of Contents - Buyer

Just wanted to let you know that I am able to pass along some real estate tips and thoughts courtesy NAR (National Association of Realtors)...

The Table of Contents for Buyers below lists the many tips sheets which are available for email.
See something you like? Please request a copy (by name and number), and I will email it to you in Adobe (.pdf) format. As many as two documents can be requested per visit.

Please visit www.dreamhomenewmexico.com and use the CONTACT US link to request specific handouts. You may also email me directly to request information
silver_blogger "at" dreamhomenewmexico.com

8 Steps to Getting Your Finances in Order..... 4
Budget Basics Work Sheet.....5
8 Ways to Improve Your Credit.....6
5 Factors That Decide Your Credit Score.....7
Your Property Wish List.....8

Tips for Finding the Perfect Neighborhood.....9
Tips on Buying in a Tight Market.....10
The Pros and Cons of Condos.....11
5 Reasons You Need a REALTOR@.....2
Questions to Ask When Choosing a REALTOR.....13

10 Steps to Prepare for Homeownership.....4
How Big a Mortgage Can I Afford?.....15
7 Reasons to Own Your Own Home.....16
LINK - 5 Common First-Time Homebuyer Mistakes.....17

LINK -
10 Tips for First-Time Homebuyers.....18

LINK - 10 Things to Take the Trauma Out of Homebuying.....19
How High Tech Is Your Home?.....20
Hidden Home Defects to Watch For.....21
l0 Questions to Ask a Home Inspector.....22
What Your Home Inspection Should Cover.....23
How Comprehensive Is Your Home Warranty?.....24

5 Property Tax Questions You Need to Ask.....25
10 Questions to Ask Your Condo Board.....26
10 Questions to Ask Your Lender.....27
10 Things a Lender Needs From You..... 28
6 Creative Ways to Afford a Home.....29

Choices That Will Affect Your Loan.....30
5 Things to Understand About Homeowners Insurance.....31
10 Ways to Lower Your Homeowners Insurance Costs.....32
5 Things to Understand About Title Insurance.....33

What Not to Overlook on a Final Walk-through.....34
Common Closing Costs for Buyers.....35
What to Keep From Your Closing.....36
Tips for Packing Like a Pro.....37

Reprinted from REALTOR Magazine Online by permission of the NAR
Copyright 2005. All rights reserved. www. REALTOR. org

Coming next time are the Consumer Handouts for Sellers. I hope you find these helpful.

Buyers get ready to score.

You should be doing some things now:

Get pre-qualified! I see 4.5% 30 yr fixed rates in the immediate future with possibilities of 4% (maybe even lower). Good credit a must, but there are loans available "right now" for 3.5% down. Wow. A decent job history and Good Credit and you're probably good to go. I didn't say you need great credit. Good credit will do. Need help finding a reliable lender? Let me help you get started with a list of silver city and area lenders who want your good business..

Start the online search to get a feel what value means in your target market. Free search engines like Dream Home let you see all of the listings in all of the categories - and no registration or fees... You need to know a bit about market values and what to expect when you interview your potential Realtor. Is he / she showing me stuff that pays him more, or am I seeing everything that's available - regardless of the Realtor commission involved. Hmmmm. Do some due diligence and you will be ahead of most.

Choose your Realtor carefully. You want experience (and not just in years) and solid knowledge of changing market conditions. You want someone who seeks properties that have intrinsic and actual value, as well as helping you understand why other properties may not provide value for the buck spent.

RETURN TO DREAM HOME NEW MEXICO

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

November 2008 - Existing Housing Sales - HO HO HOLY SMOKE

Things continue to look less than grand from a national viewpoint. A ray of light in NM? Isolated regions and some local markets, Silver City New Mexico included, seem to be bucking the huge continued downward real estate trends seen elsewhere.

OK here is 11-2008 from the NAR:

INVENTORY: Total housing inventory at the end of November rose 0.1 percent to 4.2 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 11.2-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 10.3-month supply in October

PRICES: The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $181,300 in November, down 13.2 percent from November 2007 when the median was $208,800. There remains a significant downward distortion in the current price from a large number of distress sales at discounted prices; the median is where half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less

SINGLE FAMILY HOME SALES:
fell 8.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in November from a level of 4.37 million in October, and are 8.8 percent below a 4.41 million-unit pace a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $180,800 in November, down 12.8 percent from November 2007.

Prices nationally should continue to slide, and buyers in many markets are starting to get the heat. Interest rates heading towards snail butt bottom. What a great time to be qualified to buy. First Time Home Buyers delight too with FHA and 3.5% down - gifted down allowed from family member...

I predict that prices will find a way of sliding a bit more here in Silver before we see a firm bottom. Buyers are getting some nice deals here it seems, with virtually no sellers getting full asking price. That last sentence will probably provide momentum and reason for sellers to continue to ask higher prices than what conditions imply BUT please read the following....

DO NOT OVER PRICE YOUR LISTING! The price it gigh just in case and "WE CAN ALWAYS TAKE LESS" theory has about run its course - cause it isn't getting the wished for result. Look at the listings that are stubbornly kept on the market at a price that barely gets the properties shown. Duh! Days on market is a stat that most savvy buyers look at.

I have long thought we (as sellers) have had an overinflated sense of value in listing properties in this community, and therefore potentially the market could be a bit unstable. In spite of all of the negatives that might warn of the worst scenarios, the market has been managing to hold up very well with only occasional use of smoke and mirrors (s+m) adding to a sense of stability.

S+M The market has been sustainable at least in part because of the high percentage of sales made to folks coming from outside this area. To many folks who choose to make this their area their homes, our asking home prices must seem reasonable (if not darn cheap) compared to where they have come from. And because so many of the database homes are priced with (perceived) blue sky added in to the list price, it doesn't seem unreasonable to someone who is not familiar with our values to make what to them is a "reasonable" offer. Offers and closings continue to take place with some regularity. And offers and closings in a range of value will beget offers and closings of a similar nature.

(My concern and the rub) There's a theory that says real estate markets can't be considered truly stable until historical average rents and average selling price ratios are in balance. If mortgage payments average $1200 a month but I can rent similar houses for $700-850, there is a market imbalance. When the spread gets really wide, it hints at extreme imbalance and awaiting correction. Parts of So Calif. have ratios mortgage payments in the range of 2500-3000 a month and yet rents are in the $1200 range. That ratio has proven/ is proving to be a disaster. Even in our little town, rents need to be raised or property values need to come down for proper market balance.

Realtors must do what is in the best interest of their selling clients and in most cases what is best for their customers. Some Realtors help artificially inflate values in the market by allowing listing prices to be at the high range of fair up to unreasonable - but if there is some chance that someone will pay a higher price, it has to be considered in the strategy... Price it right the first time and you will be much more happy with the results that you get.

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to everyone. May you and your family have a Happy Holiday Season. ---aarcher---->

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Interest Rates possibly going below 5% - IMO

Wow.

It appears that Buyers will be looking at rates at or below 5% soon.

This could prove to be a big step in stimulating some more purchase activity nationally.

It's nice to be in Silver City where declines have been minimal - at least they haven't been anywhere near as substantial as elsewhere. There must be some local pain being experienced with retirement accounts having been hammered, jobs lost, and some loss in value in their real property. Obviously the real estate market has softened. It had too. Before the "bailout," some folks weren't sure we would have a private banking system when all was said and done. Hmmmm.

To be honest, we may still have to give back a bit more before the national financial situation is resolved. Still I feel reasonably comfortable that we (in Silver City) will be spared the worst case scenarios associated with this mess. Fingers crossed and hoping the powers that be have the common sense to do what's right for the USA.

Really sorry to hear about recent FCX events. We really do need the jobs and associated income going to businesses in the community . Go copper...

Good Buying Opportunities! - coming soon

View the entire database and search by Silver City MLS number with mouseover image controls.

FREE NO REGISTRATION

Thursday, August 7, 2008

More June 2008 data

NAR reports this morning that June 2008 Pending Sales (houses that have gone into "under contract" status) are up 5.3% over May 2008. However the pending sales number is down a BIG 12.3% over the same period a year earlier (June 2007 data).

Pending Sales by area:
Pending sales in Northeast are up +3.4%
Pending sales in South are up +9.3%
Pending sales in West are up +4.6%
Pending sales in Midwest are up a modest +1.3%

Interesting note here that the areas showing the greatest drop in prices recently are the areas showing the greatest recovery. This substantiates my recent theory that there are savvy buyers in the pipeline who are taking action and buying homes in the distressed markets on the pullbacks in pricing.

NAR also states that the housing stimulus package bill should improve overall conditions (On a national basis) for the 4th quarter.

Interested in picking up a value property in Silver City? See all of the available properties at Silver City's premier real estate web site. Dream Home New Mexico

Need help in weeding through the blue sky listings and finding real value in the market here?
Contact Dream Home New Mexico Dream Team member - a GMAC Premier Service member

Thursday, July 24, 2008

June 2008 Housing National Data


Hot off the ticker information courtesy of NAR and the talkin heads at CNBC...

Existing Home Sales fell in June by 2.6% (a seasonally adjusted rate) with 4.86 million sold units, the lowest sales reported since 1998. Existing Home sales dropped 15.5% from June 2007.

Inventory of existing homes is up another .2% to a total of 4.49 units. This represents an 11.1 month supply of available homes. Ouch. This number just keeps growing. Note - Silver City inventory has inched up as well, but days on market for sold properties has declined substantially..

Median Home price for existing homes sold was $215,100 which is down 6.1% from June of 2007, and this is the lowest since 2004.



Regionally:
The Northeast reported -6.6% sales of existing homes
The Midwest reported --3.4%
The South reported -3.1%
with the West showing an increase of 1%.

Why an increase out West???

Perhaps because the West has seen prices drop across the board a big 17%. When a market takes a crapper, some of the good deals get washed out too, and create potential value for bottom fishing. Some savvy buyers are obviously active and some are scoring big out West.




Disturbing News - Well Yes IMO

Western State Realtors (California) have polled that 33% to 40% of the existing homes being sold are in some form " foreclosure properties". Wow..... Enough said...


Things are going surprisngly well now in Silver City with the common expression "slammed" being used by many of the recently "Maytag" like real estate professionals. Yep we are getting busy. Buyers and sellers have found some level of comfort in our somewhat stable market.


You gotta love this place for any number of reasons..... ---aarcher--->

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Silver City Real Estate - 2nd Quarter stats and projections


Hi Friends of Silver City,

Activity seems to be on the rise (as normal and as expected) with the arrival of summer. In light of the national real estate crisis, things in our market continue to be "ok to about average" in our community. The word on the street is that things have picked up a notch or two and are increasing and improving - I echo this sentiment, especially over the last 4-5 weeks...

The 2nd Quarter of 2008 shows a total of 80 units SOLD (for all classes of property). Quarter 1 reports show 64 units reported sold in comparison.


Breaking this down for Residential sales - Quarter 2 reports 51 residential class listings selling at an average of $161,902 per unit. The residential number is up 2 units (from the 49 residential listings sold in Q1), but the average price has seen some slippage with the Q1 average being $169,751. Interesting that the DOM (Days on Market) have actually decreased for this important category - from 183 DOM in Q1 to only 140 DOM in Q2. (CORRECTION MADE 7-23-2008) Stats were re-posted and were corrected from 183 DOM listed in 2007 and should read 139... Virtually no change in DOM...

When we explore how the sales of residential listings for the 2nd Q of 2008 stacks up against 2007 and 2006 results, the following interesting data turns up:

2006 2nd Q - residential sales reported were 102 with an average sales price of $164,709
2007 2nd Q - residential sales reported were 96 with an average sales price of $191,575 (?)
2008 2nd Q - residential sales reported were 51 units with an average price of $161,902

Search all of the listings for free at the Premier Real Estate website serving Grant County


Go with the trend! Following the trends is the way to go if you are picking stocks. I don't believe we should put too much faith in trend lines for real estate as in the decline which the annual comparison of number's suggest. Those of us who watch the market data closely KNOW that we are in turn around mode in many of the nation's hardest hit communities. IMO -There will be additional (considerable) pain for some very specific regions ahead. The areas most discussed by the talking heads (San Diego, Phoenix, Las Vegas, and Miami, etc..) are reeling from the hurt, and they have much more to give back before they are done I fear. In areas like Silver City, however, we have been saved from the "big pain" that others are feeling - and our market is seeing signs of an up-tic. Perhaps we are seeing the flat to slight downtrend here reversed. I believe that the next Quarter numbers will accurately reflect additional recovery for our local market.

It is a great time to be looking at investing in the real estate market in this area. There are a few sweet deals to be had, and savvy Buyers are in somewhat aggressive mode. (Savvy) Sellers have started giving up the dream of making obscene profits in very short time frames as well, and a reasonableness in pricing is starting to be displayed. There are profits to be taken, but not EZ "blue sky" profits as before. The not so savvy Sellers may find their properties (currently priced above fair market value) likely to continue to sit with little activity from potential buyers.

State of Affairs -Properties without functional or environmental obsolescence and that are priced reasonably, are seeing decent to good activity, with many offers to purchase in well below average DOM...

It takes a good Realtor to help you price your home properly so that it sees good activity, just as it takes a good Realtor to keep you from snapping up the deal that really isn't a deal. Don't place an offer based upon what someone is asking. You need to understand and study the current market values for Sold and Active listings. You really need the aid of a service and brokerage with a network of skilled professionals to be effective in this kind of market. What you don't need is someone who looks primarily at the commissions* to be earned when identifying and helping you find potential properties.

The rainy season has started, and we are loving it. It's cool and virtually perfect sleeping weather for me. Fire danger is seriously reduced, and we are blessed for that. Our best to those in California who have not been so fortunate.

--aarcher--->

*If it seems your Realtor wants to only show his own office and personal listings, well.... just be wary of the potential for conflict of interest...

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

US New Home Sales - Gloom and Doom? Maybe in some markets, but not in Silver City!

New Listing - Large 4 bedroom 2.5 bath home in great neighborhood. Curb Appeal.

Just some National Real Estate faqs hot off the press.

MARCH 2008 Data released 4-25-2008 - National New Home Sales (NHS) at lowest rate since 1991.

NHS down 8.5% for March 2008 after

NHS down 5.3% for February 2008.

New Home Supply stats:

New Homes inventory for March 2008 at 11 months*

*This is the highest inventory since Sept 1981.

New Home inventory for February was at 10.2 months.

New Home Median Sales Price for March 2008 is off (down) 13.3% from March 2007

Silver City Residential, Commercial, Farm and Ranch, Multi-family and Vacant Land Search


Ok those are the stats. What does it all mean?

Looks to me like there will be more bargains in new homes in select markets in the coming months. I assume there will be many motivated builders who will find themselves forced to keep the $$$ flowing and who will be offering deep discounts and incentives to move their inventory. This will have negative effects on the resale market as the old will be forced to compete with the new homes being discounted. Why buy used when new is comparably cheap? This is not such a concern here in Silver City as only a very small percentage of our annual sales are considered new home supply.

Silver City ACTIVE residential home inventory continues to creep up with an obvious slowdown in SOLD listings being reported. Remember we experienced a noticeable slowdown in activity over the winter months, and only a few weeks ago did we see anything approaching what we might call normal activity. Since most contracts run 5-6 weeks from showing a property, to getting a contract accepted, through to closing and SOLD status, I am expecting (and hoping) this increased recent activity translates into more SOLD listings being reported a few weeks or so out from today.

If you are waiting for signs of a bottom before buying, you may just miss a great buying opportunity. Deals are out there. Repeat. There are some reasonably priced and attractive opportunities to be had in our market. Not all Sellers are blinded by greed and desire to make a killing off of an unaware (and often out of area) Buyer. There are actually Sellers willing to take reasonable prices. You need an experienced qualified Realtor to help you determine which properties are full of blue sky and which might be considered potentially great investments.

Do your due diligence (DD) by regularly searching and keeping track of new inventroy using one of the popular free websites. It's time to start considering the Realtor you will work with as well. Only after you have done your homework and feel comfortable that you have a handle on the real estate market here, should you venture out alone without the aid of a quality Realtor. I am proud to offer GMAC's Premier Service and Premier Service Guarantee to Buyers and Sellers of New Mexico property. There is a difference in service. I welcome the savvy customer who interviews more than one Realtor, who compares and carefully chooses their Realtor. I challenge you to interview the competition and see what they have to offer. I then challenge the competition to step up to the plate and put in writing their personal and professional guarantee to you. The Premier Service Guarantee* to you is in writing, and it fully describes the golden rule of customer care that I will provide. *

Speaking of Customer Care... Enough lunch time blogging activity. Gotta get back to take proper care of my existing customer's needs. I am able to provide top level service and help 2 more Buyers, and can service perhaps 3-4 additional Seller's properties.

Need a good Realtor? Call Archer @ 800-368-5632 #17 or locally 575-388-1921 #17. I just want the opportunity to earn your business. There is a difference. --aarcher--->

*Premier Service Guarantee Details
.

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Studying... and an Improving Market?

As school has ended and with test day looming ahead, I may soon be able to devote more time to this blog. That is the plan anyway. Hope you all are well. With my main focus recently having been on taking care of business and my customers, having finally gotten the classroom requirements and obligations out of the way is a real relief. Hopefully that will parlay into time for more posts here.

Market data shows a slight increase in inventory with a slightly higher % of available houses offered for sale. I'm still not seeing much discounting even in light of the increase in inventory.

And... In the same vein. Good news for the local buyers and sellers who have hooked up with a good Realtor. Houses and vacant land are still selling in our market. There are some deals and there are some properties still selling top range of reasonable value. I wouldn't want you to believe that this is a great market. It's not. But it's certainly not a poor market or one appeared heading for crisis* either.

Not all Sellers, Buyers (nor their Realtors) understand how value can be perceived so differently by the different people involved. The classic (spy vs spy) "what I think it's worth" and "what I paid for it" vs. "what someone will actually pay for it" are evident in Silver City as everywhere. The good news is there are Buyers and Sellers (and some of their agents) who manage in these uncertain, mostly non biased markets (a Seller's market vs. Buyer's market) to find common ground and value for the effort. There are plenty of win/win exchanges getting recorded. Real $$ for real property. That all seems pretty healthy to me.

It's a great day to go window shopping. Please visit my favorite website (hint-you don't have to register) and see all of the local Silver City area listed properties. There are some pretty hot commercial offerings in the database too.

Dream Home New Mexico

See you guys soon. Wish me luck. ----archer--->

The real crises is there are way too many active Realtors in the pool. Hehheh. Kidding of course. It's true that we have added a significant number of professionals in the last couple of Quarters, and there are many more right now in the prelicensing stage. (We should feel lucky - Albuquerque boasts 5600 Realtors. Talk about competition). While having a larger number of professionals quartering the whole makes it a bit tougher going for the individual agent involved, as a whole and for the market, it would seem to be of benefit to Sellers and Buyers. i.e. competitive edge, service*, customer care


*GMAC PREMIER SERVICE DETAILS

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

SOLD 2003 - 2004 - 2005 - 2006 - 2007 SOLD

Hi and welcome to everyone from the Silver City Real Estate Blog. Hope you enjoy the blog, and that you come back often.

Todays entry is a compilation of SOLD STATISTICS for the Silver City, Grant County, and surrounding areas for the periods 2003 thru 2007. As you can see, the market remained reasonably stable in spite of the acknowledged "sub prime" meltdown that is being seen in select markets around the USA.

Before posting the annual results for our area (in table format below), I wanted to post this morning's national statistics just released for the month of November 2007. All 20 of the USA's top markets were down compared to the prior months stats.

And for those who are not keeping track, the following might seem shocking and negative in general for the USA real estate market:

November marks the 11th straight month of price declines in the top 20 markets in the USA. Three of the worst price declines are as expected, Las Vegas, Miami, and San Diego with all three showing price declines in double digits.


Search the MLS property database for the Silver City area
Always Free - Never any registration required to use

Lets take a look at the annual sales numbers as compiled from the local MLS database. Our data seems to point at a reasonably stable market. Aren't you glad you own here? YOU WILL NEED TO SCROLL WAY DOWN THE SCREEN TO SEE THE EMBEDED TABLES - SORRY FOR THE INCONVENIENCE!
Silver City New Mexico Regional - Sold Market Analysis 2003-2007 (below)




































































































































































































































2007 TotalAverage Price Median Price DOM
All SOLD Listings 546$168,177 $124,750187
Residential331$188,893$$160,000142
Land188$91,312$50,000268
Commercial14$315,364$227,500133
Multi-Family10$221,950$183,500147
Farm/Ranch3$1,833,333$1,600,000509
2006 TotalAverage Price Median Price DOM
All SOLD Listings 636$136,925$100,000188
Residential390$174,509$155,000136
Land215$103,555$61,000251
Commercial16$311,000$172,500251
Multi-Family12$332,165$200,000115
Farm/Ranch3$85,333$$95,000275
2005 TotalAverage Price Median Price DOM
All SOLD Listings 711$136,925$100,000235
Residential458$154,031$130,000136
Land222$82,710$69,079438
Commercial17$301,876$180,000298
Multi-Family9$118,472$122,500111
Farm/Ranch5$449,584$228,800239
2004 TotalAverage Price Median Price DOM
All SOLD Listings 622$118,666$90,000210
Residential442$126,330$105,000170
Land148$76,764$55,125328
Commercial20$224,595$144,500279
Multi-Family12$176,625$151,250120
2003 TotalAverage Price Median Price DOM
All SOLD Listings 519$102,340$79,500230
Residential351$112,652$90,000180
Land143$60,976$50,000327
Commercial19$224,847$196,070377
Multi-Family6$97,000$70,000352

It appears that only moderate growth (expected based upon the norms for the region) was recorded locally while other areas participated in the national boom 2004- 2006. This should equate to what we are now experiencing locally - a slowdown, but void of meaningful price reductions. We can be thankful that prices did not sky rocket here and go into a range of false and inflated values like our Florida and California friends experienced.


Home prices remain stable (and are not cheap in a traditional manner), but since we were spared a lot of excess and blue sky pricing these last few years, we should avoid any knee jerk reactions to what is (sadly) happening in major markets elsewhere.

Buyers are getting aggressive with their offers, but Sellers generally have remained firm. Yes we are shifting towards a Buyer's Market, but Sellers are still doing well and are getting close to the asking prices being advertised.

It's important, whether buying or selling, to find a Realtor who will provide honest evaluations of each property based upon the "comps" and competing listings in the area.

It may pay to read the following two statements carefully. It's important to understand why these statements are true in many instances.

A Realtor who will let you list your property at an unreasonable or exaggerated listing price is not your friend, and will actually cost you money in the long term (perhaps a subject for a future posting).

Similarly, a Realtor who will let you place an offer on a property without discussing the market and competing properties is also no friend - and will probably cost you more money as well.